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Hungary - Basic data 
Last update: #########
%, y-to-y, unless otherwise stated  2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010F 2011F
GDP, real growth, %   4.9   4.2   3.9   1.5   2.0   -6.3      
Private household consumption, real growth, %       3.8   3.2   -2.0   0.5   -7.0      
Government consumption, real growth, %       0.2   -2.8   -5.0   -2.0   -6.4      
Investment (gross fixed capital formation), real growth, %       5.3   -2.1   0.0   3.0   -5.7      
GDP, HUF bn, nominal       21,785.0   23,562.0   25,585.0   27,270.0   25,500.0      
GDP, EUR bn, nominal       87.8   89.2   102.8   107.2   91.0      
GDP per capita, euroarea = 100       57   58   58   59   58      
                               
Industrial output, real growth, %   7.4   7.0   10.1   8.1   6.0   -18.7      
Construction output, real growth, %   6.8   16.6   -0.5   -14.1   -5.0   -4.0      
Average national wage, real growth, %   6.0   7.2   7.5   8.1   8.0   10.5      
Unemployment, average, %   -0.7   6.3   3.6   -5.2   1.0   -3.5      
Retail sales, real growth, %   5.6   4.5   4.4   -3.0   -1.5   -7.5      
                               
Consumer prices, average, %   6.8   3.6   3.9   8.0   6.5   4.2      
Consumer prices, eop, %   5.5   3.3   6.5   7.4   5.5   5.7      
Core inflation, eop, %       1.3   5.0   5.3   5.3   4.7      
Industrial producer prices, average, %   3.5   4.4   5.0   5.3   6.0   1.8      
HICP, average, %       3.5   3.9   8.0   6.5   4.2      
Price level, euroarea = 100       60   59   66   65   62      
                               
Current account balance, in % of GDP   -8.8   -7.3   -5.8   -5.4   -6.0   1.6      
Current account balance, in EUR bn       -6.4   -5.2   -5.5   -6.4   -3.0      
Trade balance. HUF bn   -987.0   -720.1   -522.4   -145.0   -150.0   4,421.0      
Export. in EUR (FOB). y/y growth. %       12.2   16.8   17.1   10.0   -17.0      
Import. in EUR (CIF). y/y growth. %       9.1   14.2   14.0   9.0   -28.0      
FDI net, in % of GDP   3.5   4.9   2.0   1.0   2.4   1.1      
FDI net, in EUR bn       4.3   1.7   1.0   2.5   1.0      
Basic balance (C/A + FDI), in % of GDP       -2.4   -3.9   -2.4   -1.3   2.5      
Official FX reserves, eop, EUR bn   11.7   15.7   16.4   16.5   16.5   30.0      
                               
General government budget, in % of GDP   -6.3   -4.5   -8.7   -5.8   -3.4   -3.9      
General government budget, in HUF bn   -1,284.1   -984.0   -2,034.0   -1,480.0   -1,111.0   -981.0      
Central government gross debt, in HUF bn   11,592.4   12,765.6   14,705.7   15,576.4   16,800.0   17,781.0      
Public budgets (ESA-95), in % of GDP       -7.8   -9.8   -6.0   -2.9   -4.0      
Public debt (ESA-95), in % of GDP       62   68   66   65   80      
                               
Money supply M3, growth rate, average y/y %   11.7   13.9   16.0   9.0   9.0   4.0      
2-week NBH repo rate, eop %   9.50   6.00   8.00   7.50   11.50   6.30      
3M BUBOR, average %   11.32   7.05   7.00   7.80   10.00   8.80      
3M BUBOR, eop %   9.32   6.27   8.05   7.50   11.50   6.25      
10Y IRS, average %   8.25   6.49   7.00   6.70   9.00   7.50      
Long term interest rate, spread in bps       364   276   270   500   500      
                               
HUF/EUR, average   251.7   248.1   264.1   251.3   250.0   280.2      
HUF/EUR, eop   245.9   252.7   251.5   253.0   255.0   270.0      
Forecasts: KBC