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The Hungarian forint received another hit as the Fitch rating agency worsened the outlook of country’s ratings yesterday

The Hungarian forint received another hit as the Fitch rating agency worsened the outlook of country’s ratings yesterday

21.9.2006 10:20
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While it seemed that situation in Budapest streets settled down, the Hungarian forint received another hit as the Fitch rating agency worsened the outlook of country’s ratings (for more see the Box). Following the late release with Fitch rating action the forint dipped immediately to two-week lows at the EUR/HUF 277.0 level. Later on - during the off-shore trading, the forint was managed to recoup part of its losses.

Fitch Ratings changed the Outlook on Hungary's foreign currency and local currency ratings to Negative from Stable. The ratings, which were downgraded in December 2005, were affirmed at ‘BBB+’ and ‘A+’.

According to Fitch Recent developments have increased the chances that the government's much-needed reform programme, spearheaded by the Prime Minister, will be diluted. At the same time Fitch added that success at implementing the outlined fiscal path is essential to lessening Hungary's external vulnerabilities at a time when the external financing environment could become less favourable. Failure to do so would increase negative pressure on the ratings. Today, the market will further digest Fitch’s comment, which might weigh on the forint at least in early trading. Nevertheless, forint losses should be limited as Fed decision was received well in emergin markets. Moreover, student union calls off a demonstration against the government scheduled for this evening, which could be interpreted as a positive signal of calming the atmosphere in Budapest.

(CSOB - Investment research)

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