Nemyslim, ze je vhodne vytvaret konspiraci ci senzaci za kazdou cenu - viz ukazatel sentimentu. Takhle je maten clovek, ktery pristup k bloombergu nema. Ti co ho maji vi, ze IBD / TIPP index je publikovany mesicne, bloomberg jen neuchovava tabulkove hodnoty. Hodnoty lze nicmene jednodusse najit (to uz p.zabza neuvadi) min. za poslednich 12 mesicu...
Zde je pro investory vytah z posledni zpravy...
U.S. IBD/TIPP September Economic Optimism Index (Text)
2009-09-15 14:00:12.921 GMT
By Andy Burt
Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Following is the text of the
September economic optimism index as released by TechnoMetrica
Market Intelligence and Investors Business Daily.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index increased 2.2 points, or 4.4%,
in September, posting 52.5 vs. 50.3 in August. This month’s reading
puts the index 5 points above its 12-month average of 47.5 and 8.1 points
above its reading of 44.4 in December 2007 when the economy entered
into the recession, and 1.3 points above its all-time average of 51.2.
It is also a 30-month high.
Note: Index readings above 50 indicate optimism; below 50 indicate
pessimism.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index has a good track record of
foreshadowing the confidence indicators put out later each month by
the University of Michigan and The Conference Board. IBD/TIPP
conducted the national poll of 924 adults from September 8 to September
13. The margin of error is +/-3.3 percentage points.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index has three key components, all
three of which rose in September.
*The Six-Month Economic Outlook, a measure of how consumers feel about
the economy’s prospects in the next six months, increased 1.2 points,
or 2.3%, to reach 53.7. When compared to December 2007, the index shows
a gain of 21.6 points.
*The Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about
their own finances in the next six months, moved up 2.9 points, or 5.4%,
to reach 57.
*Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP
measure of views on how government economic policies are working, rose
2.3points, or 5.2%, to reach 46.6.
“Across-the-board we see our index sustaining its last month gain and
building some more on top of it. If the index can sustain the current
healthy levels, we believe that it could greatly help consumer
spending,” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TIPP, a unit of
TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, IBD’s polling partner.
“The economy’s natural buoyancy is reasserting itself,” said Terry
Jones, associate editor of Investor’s Business Daily. “The current
economic recovery was baked in the cake last December, when the Fed
cut interest rates to zero. The stimulus has done little. The only
remaining questions are, how strong will it be, and can it last?”
The Breakdown
This month, 18 of the 21 demographic groups that IBD/TIPP tracks were
above 50 on the Economic Optimism Index. The highest index scores were
for Democrats (65.6), Black/Hispanic Americans (65.3), those living
in the Northeast (57.8), and 25 to 44 year age group (55.8)
17 groups advanced on the index, while only 4 groups declined. The
largest advances came from households earning $50K to $75K (7.8), those
identifying themselves as independents/other in politics (6.6) and
those living in the Northeast (6.3). The largest declines on the index
were the 18 to 24 year age group (-3.0), and households earning under
$30K (-2.2).
On the Economic Outlook component, 19 of the groups IBD/TIPP tracks
scored in optimistic territory. Only 13 groups advanced on the index.
The largest advances came from those indentifying themselves as
independents/other in politics (11.3), those living in the West (5.7)
and investors (5.4).
On the Personal Financial component, 19 of the groups IBD/TIPP tracks
scored in optimistic territory. The most optimistic groups on this
index included Black/Hispanic Americans (71.9), 18 to 24 year age group
(69.8), households earning under $30K (64.3), Democrats (62.8), and
those living in the Northeast (60.1).
On the Federal Policies component, only six of the 21 demographic groups
tracked were above 50. Seventeen groups advanced on the index, while
four groups declined.
SOURCE: TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence and Investors Business Daily
David
