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CZECH ECONOMY
Forecast 
 2010
GDP (real growth %)2.13
Inflation (%)2.97
Unemployment (%)8.84
CZK/EUR25.12
2W Repo (%)1.25
3M Pribor (%)1.81
Source: Patria Finance
Real convergency 
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Czech republic - Selected indicators 
Last update: 8/18/10 18:01
 200904/1005/1006/1007/10
Industrial output, %, y-on-y-13.410.916.99.7 
Unemployment, % y-on-y5.49.28.78.58.7
Construction output, %, y-on-y-1.9-15,30,5-4,7 
Retail sales, %, y-on-y -4.3-4.53.16.6 
CPI, %, e.o.p.1.01.11.21.21.9
PPI, %, e.o.p.-0.80.41.52.02.3
Trade balance, USD mil.3,022900.2720.1571.4 
3M PRIBOR, %, average1.301.251.091.041.04
CZK/EUR, average25.425.3125.6725.7825.31
Source: CSO, CNB. Forecasts (bold): Patria Finance
Hot news - Economy  
 31/08/2010
16:33Study: 38,000 of Irish companies are at a "high risk" of collapse and show signs consistent with business failure (CNBC)
 23/08/2010
09:00Cuts in the Czech state budget for next year will reduce the GDP by 0.6-0.7%, PM Petr Necas said.
 20/08/2010
10:13Czech PM Petr Nečas said yesterday in Berlin that he is against an EU bank tax and rescue fund
 16/08/2010
11:11Hungary’s government plans to prolong and raise the “Robin Hood” tax rate from 8% to 10%, while it was expected to remain in effect for 12-18 months from 1 July 2009 (portfolio.hu)
 13/08/2010
09:13Czech GDP in 2Q10 up 0,8 % (q/q), 2,2 % (y/y) in-line with consensus
 11/08/2010
11:05CNB: The deficit of the current account of balance of payments fell to Kc15bn in June after nearly a Kc24bn current account gap in May and a Kc12.4bn surplus in April.
09:44S&P revised its outlook on CR's long-term credit rating to "positive" from "stable", country's debt rating may be raised on reduced spending and pension overhaul. (Bloomberg)
 10/08/2010
16:13Czech tourists travelling to the United States will pay a registration fee of $14 in the U.S. Electronic System for Travel Authorisation (ESTA) as from September 8 (ČTK)
10:07Czech Transport Minister Vit Barta decided to halt all railway construction projects financed by the SZDC rail-track managing company with an immediate effect today (ČTK)
 09/08/2010
09:00Czech unemloyment: Actual (July): 8,7 %, consensus: 8,7 %, previous (June): 8,5 %
News - Economy
Czech Republic quarterly - Global Slowdown and Czech Economy
26/08/2010 17:27
The Czech economy is performing well but risks arise as major economie...
Czech Republic: Mild increase in PPI inflation
16/08/2010 09:54
Actual (July): 0.0% mom; 2.3% yoy Consensus: 0.2% mom; 2.5% yoy Previo...

Czech Republic: First estimate of GDP touch above consensus
13/08/2010 10:17
Real GDP growth s.a. Preliminary (2Q): 0.8 % q/q, 2.2 % y/y Consensus:...
Czech Republic: Unemployment stopped falling in July
09/08/2010 13:05
Czech unemployment increased in July. It was expected as at the beginn...

Consumer price in July: Inflation on the rise
09/08/2010 13:03
Consumer prices did not surprised and rose by 0.3% last months. There ...
Trade balance in June: Surprisingly high imports
06/08/2010 13:07
Trade balance posted a surprisingly low surplus. Exports rose by 19.7%...

World - Selected macroeconomic data 

Latest update: 02/09/2010 12:10
 1Q/20092Q/20093Q/20094Q/20091Q/20102Q/2010
Eurozóna-5.20-4.90-4.10-2.100.601.70
USA-3.80-4.10-2.700.202.503.00
Belgie-3.70-4.10-2.70-0.101.60-
Finsko-8.80-9.60-8.40-5.40-0.60-
Francie-3.90-3.10-2.70-0.501.201.70
Holandsko-4.00-5.00-4.10-2.400.502.60
Irsko-9.20-7.70-7.70-5.60-0.60-
Itálie-6.50-6.10-4.70-2.800.501.10
Japonsko-8.70-5.90-4.90-1.30-1.90
Kanada-2.50-3.20-3.10-1.10-3.40
Lucembursko----4.10--
Německo-6.60-5.50-4.40-2.002.003.70
Portugalsko-3.90-3.10-2.30-1.001.801.40
Rakousko-4.70-4.90-3.10-1.200.20-
Řecko-1.00-1.90-2.50-2.50-2.30-3.50
Španělsko-3.50-4.40-3.90-3.00-1.30-0.10
Velká Británie-5.50-5.90-5.30-2.90-0.301.70
Source: Reuters

Paid services 
Calendar - Czech republic
IndicatorDatePeriodPatria forecast
GDP y/y9/8/102Q/10-
Industrial output y/y9/6/1007/10-
Unemployment9/8/1008/10-
Consumer prices m/m9/9/1008/10-
Consumer prices y/y9/9/1008/10-
Producer prices m/m9/15/1008/10-
Producer prices y/y9/15/1008/10-
Trade balance9/6/1007/10-
National wages9/3/102Q/10-
 9/3/102Q/10-
Retail sales y/y9/6/1007/10-
Construction output y/y9/6/1007/10-
World forecast 
 USAEMUJapan
actual5.253.003.00
3M (KBC)5.253.253.25
6M (KBC) 5.003.503.50
1Y (KBC)4.503.503.50
Source: KBC
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