The euro did not perform well yesterday. American ISM published on Monday and optimism that the U.S. labor market is improving slipped the euro to 1.2195 on Tuesday, not even positive German retail sales supported the European currency. Today's ISM in services can hardly influence the FX market. Nervousness prevails on the market, everyone is sure that ECB lets rates on today's level, nevertheless a cut can not be fully excluded. For today main impulses on the market are rumors concerning ECB and FOMC meetings (4.3. and 16.3.) together with optimism from the American labor market (payrolls released on Friday). We expect higher volatily with dollar appreciation. The rate EUR/USD was at about 1,22 in the morning.
CSOB - Investment Research