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Czech Watch - 11 January 2001

11.1.2001 9:28
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ČNB’s governor Zdeněk Tůma expressed yesterday that there is no need to change current stance of monetary policy. According to him it is possible that interest rates will not be changed this year at all. However, there are still upside risks: increasing trade balance deficit a public finance deficit.

Audi and Toyota want to build new plants in Europe and the Czech Republic looks suitable for such investments. CzechInvest added that the chances for attracting the BMW plant to the Czech Republic appear fairly good.

The government on Wednesday called on aerospace companies to tender for a lucrative contract to supply 24 to 36 new supersonic fighter aircraft in potentially the largest single acquisition by the Czech state. It said potential bidders for the contract, estimated to be worth at least $2.5 billion, had shown willingness to spend at least 150 percent of the value of the contract on Czech goods, services or investments in a so-called offset programme.

Industrial production, construction production a producer prices figures will be released yesterday by the Czech Statistical Office. We predict an increase of industrial production by 4.8%, year-on-year. PPI (producer price index) will post a change by 0.0%, month-on-month, and 5.3%, year-on-year, according to our forecast.

The Czech koruna started yesterday’s trading strong but fell back below 35.00 to the euro in late trading due to a general fall on emerging markets, caused by selling of the Polish zloty and the South African rand. Late on Wednesday the koruna was trading at 35.10 to the euro from 34.03 in the morning and 34.06 late on Tuesday. Koruna/dollar stood at 37.33 from the morning's 37.33 and 37.24 late on Tuesday.

Bonds rose. The longest state 6.40/10 was up 85 bps to 96.90/20, yield 6.86/81 while the state 6.75/05 was up 10 bps at 101.05/35, yield 6.44/36.

(David Marek)


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