New issue of ECM starts to be traded today on PSE under conditional trading with settlement only after 11 December, when regular trading starts. According to Reuters, the price of the new IPO on PSE has been set at the level of EUR 47, when it was four times oversubscribed.
Our view:
We estimate the fair value of ECM based on NAV at EUR 54 per diluted share, while we are not including the future projects into the valuation as some of them are in a tender stage only. Should all of the future projects be completed, the valuation would increase to EUR 61 per diluted share. Our lower estimate still implies 14% upside potential from subscription price of EUR 47. Given the interest in the subscription, we expect the price to move higher today.