ECM’s CEO told in interview for Interfax that he is considering dual listing in Warsaw next year or in 2008. He reiterated that company searching for developing opportunities in Russia, primarily in other locations than Moscow, which is rather about unique opportunities, if they arise. CEO expects that yields in Russia will fall below 10% level or could even hit 8% in two years.
Our view:
After the successful IPO in Prague, we see intention of dual-listing in Warsaw as obvious given large amount of money in Polish pension funds. ECM will thus follow Orco’s move towards WSE.
Some projects in Russia are still in tender phase and therefore we are not including them into our valuation of EUR 54. Should all known projects in Russia be successfully completed fair value could reach EUR 61. We see the news rather neutral for today’s trading.