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Yesterday, the activity on the koruna market was rather high, the supply and demand were balanced

16.9.2004 9:35
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The Czech koruna moved sideways and kept in a tight range of EURCZK 31.376 – 31.476 yesterday. However, the activity on the market was rather high, and demand and supply of the unit were balanced. The koruna ignored July’s retail sales figures released in the morning. The sales were almost flat due to an unfavorable comparative base. Working-day-adjusted sales posted rather health increase. From the monetary policy point of view the release is neutral. Today morning Czech government coalition leaders agreed on the state budget outline for 2005 after they cut the planned gap from CZK 93 bn to CZK 84 bn. Hence Social democrats and especially the prime minister Gross retreated to KDU, a junior partner in the coalition, which asked lower deficit. The government plans to save money on welfare benefits and to raise policemen’s wages as planned. However, the agreement has to be confirmed by the Government and Parliament yet. The Prime Minister Gross said yesterday he inclined toward sale of Cesky telecom through the capital market. However, the government haven’t decided a form of the sale yet.

Today we see some room for the koruna to strengthen. The agreement on the 2005 budget may push koruna higher. Yesterday’s new 10-year high of the Prague stock exchange is also slightly positive for the koruna.

ČSOB - Investment Research


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