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Macro Week ahead - ECB might come under more pressures

Macro Week ahead - ECB might come under more pressures

27.05.2013 9:10

Today, the market calendar is nearly empty. US and UK markets are closed for Veteran Day holiday. Early in the session, ECB Asmussen will speak at a Berlin breakfast meeting on Euro themes.

Later on this week, the eco calendar remains rather thin. In the US, only Consumer confidence on Tuesday & Friday, the Richmond & Chicago PMI’s and the weekly initial claims have the potential to move markets, but even then markets will be cautious eyeing next week’s ISM and payrolls releases. In EMU, the May CPI’s, to be published throughout the week, will get attention following steep declines in April. A slight rebound is expected, but shouldn’t that occur, markets will get anxious about too low inflation and the ECB might come under more pressures to do more. The ECB meets next week, but following the May policy easing, no further decisions are expected in June. Besides the inflation data, the EU Confidence data (Thursday) are interesting, even if they probably won’t move markets, following earlier confidence releases like the PMI’s and some national surveys like the German IFO.

Following the JEC testimony of Bernanke and the Fed Minutes last week, there is no new info expected from the Fed with only Boston Fed Rosengren, a dove, speaking on Tuesday, but his opinion has been well articulated recently. Also ECB governors remain silent with the exception of Asmussen (today and tomorrow), and Costa on Thursday. More important might be the annual economic recommendations from the EU Commission on Wednesday.

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