Slovenia joined the list of countries with excess CO2 emissions by reporting that it has a surplus of 5% of the credits in 2005. Note that the price of CO2 credits has fallen by 60% since first countries strating to report surpluses. More reports are expected from countries such as Germany, Poland, UK and Italy. These are expected to hold-off until May 15, when European Commission plans to publish 2005 emissions data for the whole region. Spare allowances from 2005 may be used until the end of 2007, when new allocation program (until 2012) will become effective. Preliminary draft for second phase should be known by June 30, 2006. In any case, the future development of CO2 credits price may remain unknown as the EU is expected to cut the national allocations in second phase. We reiterate that the impact on CEZ is rather limited in the near term and positive mid-term as (i) CEZ has budgeted its surplus credits at cEUR20 per ton, (ii) its 2006 CO2 needs will be just covered by its balance and (iii) the company would have to be buying CO2 credits given its rising production in 2007. Therefore, we reiterate our Buy recommendation on CEZ with fair value of CZK 1,030.